Introduction to Airline Network Planning and Route Evaluation
Build practical skills to assess route profitability, forecast demand, and optimize network decisions in a competitive market.
@ Aeroclass
Course description
Airline network planning and route evaluation are core functions shaping the commercial success of an airline. As competitive and market conditions shift, operators must continuously assess which routes to enter, maintain, or exit. The ability to evaluate traffic demand, estimate profitability, and understand the interplay between scheduling, competition, and capacity is essential to building a resilient network strategy.
This class examines the end-to-end process of route evaluation, from understanding passenger traffic flows and market dynamics to estimating revenues, costs, and long-term route sustainability. Participants will explore key concepts such as O&D market structures, demand stimulation, seasonality, connectivity, capacity constraints, and schedule design. They will also apply core evaluation principles to hypothetical and real-world cases to strengthen decision-making skills.
By the end of this training, participants will understand how airlines determine route viability, model demand and revenue, and optimise route networks in response to evolving commercial pressures.
Learning outcomes
At the end of this class, participants will be equipped to:
- Explain the role of network planning and route evaluation in airline performance
- Understand O&D markets, traffic flows, and demand behaviour
- Forecast passenger demand and evaluate market revenue potential
- Estimate trip costs and assess route profitability
- Analyse capacity constraints, seasonality, and stimulation effects
- Evaluate scheduling considerations and connectivity impacts
- Use core principles to assess real-world route feasibility
Who should attend
- Airline network and scheduling analysts
- Route development managers
- Commercial strategy and planning professionals
- Airport route development and air service teams
- Aviation consultants and analysts
- Government/aviation authority staff working in air transport planning
Meet your instructor
David Warnock-Smith
David Warnock-Smith is currently a certified course instructor with IATA and Adjunct Professor of Aviation and Transport Management at Embry Riddle Aeronautical University and University of Surrey.
He has a professional background in airport handling, rail operational planning and tourism management (accommodation). He also has over 20 years of experience as an air transport adviser, trainer and consultant having completed assignments with, among others, the Caribbean Development Bank, Etihad Airways, and the Arab Air Carriers Organisation (AACO).
David works on applied aviation research projects. His current projects focus on developing increased connectivity for Europe's historically underserved regions in cooperation with the European Commission Joint Research Centre and the creation of sustainable regional airport ground access strategies for UK airports.
David holds a PhD in Air Transport Economics from Cranfield University, is an ACI Economics Committee member and a Member of the Chartered Institute of Logistics and Transport (MCILT).
Why you should attend?
Airlines are operating in an increasingly volatile commercial environment, where shifting demand patterns, evolving competitive pressures, and changing customer behaviours require fast and informed network decisions. Rising fuel prices, constrained capacity, and the need to optimise fleet utilisation make accurate route evaluation more critical than ever.
Post-pandemic travel patterns continue to reshape demand forecasting, requiring a deeper understanding of seasonality, stimulation effects, and market recovery dynamics. Meanwhile, new business models, evolving partnerships, and renewed airport-airline cooperation are transforming how routes are planned, evaluated, and sustained.
Professionals with the ability to assess network opportunities, forecast route performance, and understand profitability drivers are better positioned to guide strategic market entry, capacity deployment, and long-term planning in an increasingly competitive global marketplace.